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Vail 85641

ZIP codeThe kind of area this report covers. Neighborhood areas nest inside each other, from broad districts down to small pockets.ArizonaBalanced market
Market temperatureA 0 to 100 score comparing this area with every similar area nationwide each month. 0 is the strongest buyer's market, 100 the strongest seller's market.Balanced market · 47
Buyer's marketBalancedSeller's market
$383K
Median sale priceThe middle sale price each month, counting normal open-market sales. The average runs above the median when a few expensive sales pull it up. Bars show how many homes sold.
-0.8%
1-yr changeHow much prices and sales counts changed since the same time last year, using a 3-month average to smooth out noise. Above the dashed line means growth.
831
Sales (12 mo)How many homes sold here in the last 12 months. More sales make the other numbers more reliable.
$413K
Median valueThe middle estimated value of all homes here, not just the ones that recently sold.

Deed records through Jul 2026Counties take time to publish deeds, so the newest months can be incomplete and may shift as more records arrive.

Market Trends

Market temperature (0–100)How the 0 to 100 market score moved over time. It blends price growth, sales pace, how often homes change hands, and seller profits.Temperature
20162018201920202022202320252026
Sale pricesThe middle sale price each month, counting normal open-market sales. The average runs above the median when a few expensive sales pull it up. Bars show how many homes sold.MedianSales
20162018201920202022202320252026
Growth (year over year)How much prices and sales counts changed since the same time last year, using a 3-month average to smooth out noise. Above the dashed line means growth.PriceSales
20162018201920202022202320252026
Price per square footThe middle price per square foot, for sales where the size is known. It adjusts for homes being different sizes.$/ft²
20162018201920202022202320252026
Sale premium vs estimated valueHow sale prices compare with our estimated values at the time of sale. Above the dashed line, homes sold for more than the models expected — a sign of competitive bidding. Below it, buyers paid under model value.Premium
20162018201920202022202320252026
Annual turnover (share of homes sold)The share of all homes here that sold in the trailing 12 months. Higher turnover means a more liquid market where homes trade hands more often.Turnover
20162018201920202022202320252026
Buyer mixWho is buying. Cash means no mortgage was recorded, investor means the buyer looked like an investor, and flip means the home resold within a year.CashInvestorFlip resale
20162018201920202022202320252026
Financing (share of purchase price)For buyers who borrowed: the middle share of the price they financed, and the middle share they paid up front.Loan (LTV)Down payment
20162018201920202022202320252026
Sellers who sold at a gainThe share of sellers each month who sold for more than they originally paid.Sold at gain
20162018201920202022202320252026
Typical hold before sellingThe middle number of years sellers owned their home before selling.Median hold
20162018201920202022202320252026
Median annualized return at resaleThe middle yearly gain sellers earned, spread across the years they owned the home. Only counts homes held at least a year.Annualized gain
20162018201920202022202320252026
Preforeclosure filingsForeclosure notices filed each month. A rise can be an early sign that more owners are struggling. Auction stage counts the filings that reached a scheduled foreclosure auction.FilingsAuction stage
20162018201920212022202420252026

Housing Stock

HomesHow many homes we have records for in this area.13,072
Median value (AVM)The middle estimated value of all homes here, not just the ones that recently sold.$413K
Median sizeThe middle home size here, measured in square feet.2,080 ft²
Median bedroomsThe middle bedroom count for homes here.4
Median year builtThe middle build year for homes here. A recent year means most housing is newer.2006
Single familyThe share of homes here that are single-family houses.87%
CondosThe share of homes here that are condos.0.8%

Equity & Ownership

Equity rich (LTV ≤ 50%)The share of owners who owe half or less of what their home is worth, meaning they hold a lot of equity.39%
Underwater (LTV ≥ 125%)The share of owners who owe at least 25% more than their home is worth.1.4%
Owner occupiedThe share of homes lived in by their owner rather than rented out or left empty.85%
Company ownedThe share of homes owned by a company or trust instead of a person.16%
Median loan-to-valueThe middle share of home value still owed on loans across all owners here.60%
Typical ownership tenureHow long the typical owner here has held their home.6.8 yrs

CommunityThese are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.46
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.97
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.63

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.95%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.25%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.4.2%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.1.1%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.27,630
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.58 / mi²
Median household incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$111K
Average household incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$126K
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.64°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.18 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.85%

Market metrics are derived from recorded arms-length deeds and refreshed nightly. Temperature blends price momentum, sales velocity, turnover and resale outcomes, ranked against all ZIP codes nationally.

How Vail 85641 compares

By median home value, Vail 85641 is the 9th most expensive of 39 ZIP codes in Pima County, and its typical home is worth more than 66% of all homes in Pima County.

Home values in Vail 85641

Share of homes at each estimated value.

Median
$265K$998K
ZIP codes in Pima County ranked by median home value
#Pima CountyMedian valueHomes
1Tucson 85718$762K12,520
2Tucson 85749$671K7,550
3Tucson 85750$631K11,555
4Mount Lemmon 85619$600K304
5Marana 85658$538K8,016
6Tucson 85755$525K9,563
7Tucson 85737$500K9,278
8Tucson 85704$464K11,294
9Vail 85641$413K13,072
10Tucson 85701$413K1,631
11Tucson 85743$402K12,391
12Tucson 85748$392K7,478
13Tucson 85742$387K12,336
14Tucson 85715$387K7,713
15Marana 85653$383K9,867
16Tucson 85747$367K11,276
17Tucson 85735$367K4,483
18Tucson 85745$365K13,408
19Tucson 85719$353K10,316
20Green Valley 85622$352K4,863
21Sahuarita 85629$335K11,883
22Tucson 85757$322K7,946
23Tucson 85716$319K10,659
24Tucson 85741$318K10,751

39 ZIP codes in Pima County are ranked; the most valuable are listed here.

About the Vail 85641 market

What is the median home price in Vail 85641, AZ?

The median sale price in Vail 85641, AZ is $383,333 (data through July 2026), based on deeds recorded with the county. That is down 0.8% from a year earlier.

How many homes sell in Vail 85641, AZ each year?

831 homes sold in Vail 85641, AZ over the last 12 months (data through July 2026). TopHap counts recorded arm's-length deeds, not listings, so the figure is not affected by which brokerage handled the sale.

Is Vail 85641, AZ a buyer's or seller's market?

Vail 85641, AZ is currently a balanced market, scoring 47 out of 100 on TopHap's market temperature index (data through July 2026). The score weighs sales velocity and price direction; above 60 favours sellers, below 40 favours buyers.

How many homes are there in Vail 85641, AZ?

Vail 85641, AZ contains 13,072 residential properties, with a median of 2,080 square feet, 4 bedrooms, built around 2006. The median TopHap Estimate is $413K.

How does Vail 85641, AZ compare to the rest of Pima County?

By median home value, Vail 85641, AZ is the 9th most expensive of 39 ZIP codes in Pima County. Its typical home is worth more than 66% of all homes in Pima County. Tucson 85704 ranks just above it and Tucson 85701 just below. The ranking is rebuilt nightly from the county assessor record of every home in each area.

Do people own or rent in Vail 85641, AZ?

85% of homes in Vail 85641, AZ are owner-occupied. 16% are held by a company rather than an individual.

How much equity do owners in Vail 85641, AZ hold?

39% of mortgaged homes in Vail 85641, AZ are equity-rich, meaning the loan balance is under half the home's value. 1.4% owe more than the home is worth.

Nearby markets

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